Utilidad de una escala de riesgo para identificar pacientes con disglucemia
Abstract
Introducción: la prevalencia de diabetes y prediabetes ha ido en aumento a nivel global y en Cuba. Para identificar individuos en riesgo de disglucemia se han desarrollado varias escalas.Objetivo: evaluar el desempeño de la escala de Bang y otros, para identificar individuos con disglucemia, en una población cubana laboralmente activa.
Métodos: se realizó un estudio transversal en 2 902 pacientes, fueron clasificados en portadores o no de disglucemia, a través de las pruebas de glucemia en ayunas, de tolerancia a la glucosa y hemoglobina glucosilada. Se determinó la frecuencia de factores de riesgo de diabetes mellitus tipo 2 comprendidos en la escala de Bang y otros, y en el proceder enfocado en factores de riesgo de American Diabetes Association. Se determinó sensibilidad, especificidad, valor predictivo positivo, valor predictivo negativo y Odds Ratio de ambas estrategias. En ambos se calculó el área bajo la curva operativa del receptor.
Resultados: se encontró relación entre cada uno de los factores de riesgo previstos en ambos procederes con el diagnóstico de disglucemia. Se encontró sensibilidad de 96,5 % y 79,9 %; especificidad de 20,9 % y 59,1 %; valor predictivo positivo de 10,7 % y 16,1 %; valor predictivo negativo de 98,4 % y 96,8 %; OR de 7,33 y 6,76 y área bajo la curva 0,77 y 0,79 para la escala de Bang y otros, y el procedimiento enfocado en factores de riesgo, respectivamente.
Conclusiones: ambos procederes identificaron de forma aceptable el grupo de pacientes con disglucemia.
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